Department
Department of Geopolitical Analysis
China Against the System: How Beijing Is Preparing for an Era of Great Global Confrontation
23 May 2026
Global politics is gradually entering an entirely new phase in which the primary source of strategic tension is no longer the Middle East or even the war in Ukraine, but the long-term confrontation between China and the ...
Washington, Tel Aviv and Tehran: How the Iranian Crisis Is Beginning to Reshape the Entire Middle East
23 May 2026
The continuing tensions surrounding Iran are gradually evolving far beyond the framework of a conventional Middle Eastern crisis. American and Israeli media outlets are increasingly discussing possible disagreement...
American Media on Donald Trump’s Visit to China
14 May 2026
American media outlets and analytical centers are extensively covering President Donald Trump’s visit to China, describing it as one of the most symbolically charged and strategically significant moments in U.S.-China re...
“Controlled War”: How the Israel–Hezbollah Front Has Become the Battlefield of the Second Phase of Regional Confrontation
26 April 2026
The developments of the past 24 hours along the Israel–Hezbollah line can no longer be interpreted as isolated incidents or routine exchanges of fire. What is emerging is a stable configuration that, in essence, represen...
Russian Africa Corps Sustains Losses in Mali: Kidal as the Breaking Point of the War’s Entire Configuration
26 April 2026
The situation in Mali is rapidly moving beyond the framework of a localized conflict and increasingly taking on the characteristics of a systemic crisis affecting not only отдельных regions but the very architecture of p...
“Between War and Negotiations”: The Second Phase of U.S.–Iran Confrontation as a New Strategic Reality
26 April 2026
Relations between the United States and Iran have entered a stage that cannot be described either as classical negotiations or as open conflict. This intermediate condition—the second phase—represents a complex mixture o...
The Iranian strikes on southern Israel, in the areas of Dimona and Arad
22 March 2026
The Iranian strikes on southern Israel, in the areas of Dimona and Arad, became one of the most tense and symbolically charged episodes of the current escalation. They demonstrated not only Tehran’s ability to project fo...
Empty Flights and Silent Panic: War Anxiety Reshapes Air Travel in Dubai
20 March 2026
As tensions linked to the war around Iran continue to ripple across the Gulf region, an unusual aviation pattern has begun to attract attention from analysts, travelers, and financial observers alike. Long-haul passenger...
U.S. Ground Troop Deployment in Iran: Scenarios Under Consideration and Escalation Risks
20 March 2026
The Trump administration is weighing the option of deploying U.S. ground troops to fight in the war against Iran. Such a move would have been unthinkable just a few weeks ago and would fundamentally change both the chara...
Geneva Today: A Global Diplomatic Hub Where Two Major Crises Are Being Negotiated in Parallel — Ukraine and Iran’s Nuclear File
17 February 2026
On 17 February 2026, Geneva has become a rare point of convergence for two high-stakes diplomatic tracks unfolding at the same time. The city is hosting discussions tied to a Ukraine settlement effort involving delegatio...
Japan After the Election Between the US and China, Nikkei Surge and a New Geoeconomic Reality
10 February 2026
Japan has emerged from its recent election not merely as a domestic political story but as a central node in the evolving economic rivalry between the United States and China. The strong performance of the Nikkei index a...
Mounting Pressure on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and the Emerging Political Crisis in London
10 February 2026
Pressure on United Kingdom Prime Minister Keir Starmer is rapidly intensifying and has moved far beyond ordinary political debate, evolving into a full-scale leadership crisis that is affecting parliament, financial mark...
Muscat Talks A Cautious Step in the Deadlock of Tensions Between Washington and Tehran
7 February 2026
On February 6, 2026, the Omani capital Muscat hosted a long-awaited round of indirect negotiations between representatives of the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran, marking the first attempt at dialogue in s...
US–Iran Talks in Oman: Diplomacy Under Pressure and the Rising Risk of Escalation in the Middle East
6 February 2026
The ongoing negotiation process between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran, facilitated through Omani mediation, has emerged as one of the most tense diplomatic developments of early 2026. The dialogue is...
India and the United States Conclude a Final Trade Agreement Reshaping the Global Economic Balance
3 February 2026
India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the administration of the United States have announced the conclusion of a new trade agreement between the world’s two largest democracies, an accord that fundamentally alters the...
Iran Warns of a Regional War Amid U.S. Threats and European Union Decisions
1 February 2026
Iranian Persian-language media are widely reporting statements by Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issued amid heightened rhetoric from the United States and discussions of possible military preparations in the region....
UN on the Brink of Financial Collapse: How Unpaid Dues and U.S. Policy Are Undermining the Global System
31 January 2026
The United Nations is facing one of the most severe financial crises in its history. In a confidential letter circulated this week to all 193 permanent representatives, UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned that t...
Istanbul Sets the Line: Türkiye and Iran Define the Limits of Escalation Amid Rising Regional Tensions
30 January 2026
The meeting between the foreign ministers of Türkiye and Iran held in Istanbul on January 30 became a significant diplomatic moment against the backdrop of mounting instability across the Middle East. At a time marked by...
Donald Trump, the United Kingdom, China and Cuba: How Trade Pressure Is Becoming Washington’s Universal Tool
30 January 2026
The latest statements from U.S. President Donald Trump point to a clear and increasingly coherent shift in American foreign policy: economic leverage is no longer a secondary instrument of diplomacy but a central mechani...
The EU and India in Search of Strategic Autonomy
27 January 2026
События 26–27 января 2026 года в Нью-Дели обозначили не просто торжественный дипломатический жест, а более широкую тенденцию, которая постепенно становится заметной в глобальной политике. Присутствие высших руководителей...
United States, Russia and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi. After the First Round
26 January 2026
The first round of trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi concluded without signed documents and without publicly recorded agreements. However, in practical terms, it produced an outcome of a different order. The parties agreed t...
Northern Cyprus as a Zone of De Facto Integration
24 January 2026
Why Nicosia Speaks of Creeping AnnexationOver the past two years, the relationship between Ankara and the self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus has evolved from a set of separate political gestures into a coh...
The First Trilateral Dialogue on Ukraine. The Political Logic of Abu Dhabi and Possible Trajectories
23 January 2026
The launch of trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi involving Russia, the United States, and Ukraine marks a qualitative shift in the diplomatic landscape surrounding the war. For years, engagement had either been mediated throu...
China and the Wind. How Trump’s Rhetoric and Energy Reality Collided in Davos
22 January 2026
The episode that unfolded in Davos around China’s energy strategy initially appeared to be just another sharp exchange in Donald Trump’s long running critique of the climate agenda. Yet a closer look shows that this mome...
UK Inflation Accelerates to 3.4%
21 January 2026
UK Inflation Accelerates to 3.4%: What Lies Behind the Increase and What It MeansThe acceleration of inflation in the United Kingdom to 3.4% year on year in December has attracted close attention from markets and policym...
Greenland Shockwave: Europe’s Retaliation Plan and the Alliance Test
19 January 2026
Over the past 24 hours, Greenland has stopped being a distant Arctic headline and turned into a stress test for the entire Western system of power, rules, and alliance discipline. What European capitals are reacting to i...
The EU Prepares Retaliatory Measures Over Trump’s Greenland Threats
19 January 2026
The European Union is approaching one of the most serious crises in transatlantic relations in decades, triggered by threats from U.S. President Donald Trump to impose punitive tariffs on NATO allies opposing his ambitio...
Trump Announces Composition of Gaza Peace Council
17 January 2026
U.S. President Donald Trump has announced the composition of the Peace Council, which is intended to oversee the implementation of the American initiative for governing the Gaza Strip during a transitional period. The de...
Arrest of Nicolás Maduro
5 January 2026
Arrest of Nicolás Maduro: What Is KnownUncertainty continues to surround the fate of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following public claims that he was detained and removed from the country by the United States. The...
U.S. Expands Travel Restrictions
17 December 2025
U.S. Expands Travel Restrictions: 20 More Countries and the Palestinian Authority Added to Entry BansThe administration of President Donald Trump has announced a major expansion of U.S. entry restrictions, effectively do...